Comments on: Poll puts Bowser with commanding lead over Catania Mon, 09 Nov 2015 02:04:23 +0000 hourly 1 By: Pop M Thu, 23 Oct 2014 13:16:14 +0000 13% for the D candidate at two weeks out is far far far from any type of “commanding lead”. You must be returning from a galaxy far far far away or not very familiar with polling on this race. Bowser’s support plummeted since the primary back in April 2014 (remember?). 20% or more of her current vote total describes themselves as “soft” meaning they could switch. Finally, while Schwartz is polling at a decent (given her long long long absence from local electoral politics), it seems likely that as her momentum stalled from the moment she announced, her vote may disappear or evaporate in the actual voting booth. It is almost a miracle shot for anyone other than the D to win this election given the demographics of the electorate. But the final factor is that Bowser has demonstrated the extraordinary potential to lose by being too cautious and too tied to the status quo (corruption and all). it just might could happen. Don’t set your type for “Bowser Beats Catania” headlines as yet ….