2010 Election Preview: Hoyas to watch
To celebrate Election Day, we tracked down all of the close races that involve Georgetown alumni; four Hoyas are deadlocked in toss-up elections, while five others are caught in close, but leaning, races.
Check back with Vox tomorrow for a full listing of the winning and losing alumni, including those that are running in races considered either solidly Democratic or Republican. In the meantime, start preparing those internship resumes.
Incumbent Senator Lisa Murkowski (COL ’80) lost to Tea Party favorite, and Sarah Palin-endorsed, candidate Joe Miller in her primary bid for reelection. Murkowski opted to try to remain in the race as a write-in candidate. FiveThirtyEight projects Miller winning, with Murkowski coming in a close second, and the Democratic candidate falling short of both.
Current 10th District Representative Mark Kirk (LAW ’92) is running for President Barack Obama’s former Senate seat that is currently being held by the controversial appointee Roland Burris. Burris opted not to try to run for the seat, so Kirk is facing the current state treasurer Alexi Giannoulias in a race that FiveThirtyEight calls a tossup, but projects that Kirk will be elected.
South Dakota – 1st District
Blue Dog Democratic Representative Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (COL ’93, GRAD/LAW ’96) is projected to lose her seat to the better-funded Republican challenger Kristi Noem following today’s election in what the New York Times is calling a tossup race. Although she has voted against her party a number of times on some of the most recent major bills in Congress, Herseth Sandlin has faced significant scrutiny for her husband working as a lobbyist.
South Carolina – 5th District
John Spratt, House Budget Committee chairman and 14-term representative, is facing a significant challenge in Republican Mick Mulvaney (SFS ’89). Although it is being called a tossup race by The New York Times, FiveThirtyEight projects that Mulvaney will defeat Spratt handedly. Spratt won the last election with over 60 percent of the vote.
Likely to win
California – 3rd District
Representative Dan Lungren (LAW ’71) is likely to win reelection over Democratic challenger Ami Bera. He is the ranking member on House Administration, and would likely become chairman of the committee if the Republicans win a House majority.
Likely to lose
Virginia – 2nd District
Freshman Representative Glenn Nye (SFS ’96) might not be coming back for a sophomore term. His race currently leans Republican, with FiveThirtyEight projecting victory for challenger Scott Rigell.
New Mexico – 1st District
Jonathan Barela (SFS ’82, LAW ’87) is challenging current Democratic Representative Martin Heinrich. The freshman incumbent is projected to return to Congress.
Pennsylvania – 7th District
For this open seat, vacated when Joe Sestak opted to run for the Senate, Bryan Lentz (COL ’86) is facing Republican Patrick Meehan. Despite formerly being held by a Democratic representative, the seat is now leaning Republican.
Massachusetts – 4th District
House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank is facing one of his toughest reelection campaigns against Republican Sean Bielat (COL ’97). Frank has not had a significant challenge (and sometimes not even a challenger) in a decade.
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